KIEFER (best cost 7-1) has consistently had the look of a horse for that this race could suit and having had pretty much his time geared around arriving here in peak shape, Eve Johnson Houghton’s gelding appears primed for a big effort.
Promising within his first three outings in maidens, Pour Moi’s son has come into his own he did not waste any time taking advantage of a opening marker of 75 at Newbury back May and upped in trip and after disabled. His effort when runner-up from the Bibury Cup in Salisbury came courtesy of a large speed figure although beaten as and in addition, he shaped well last time out at Ascot despite soft ground not being ideal. The kind who ought to be able to express himself over the large, galloping circuit, the fast ground available must match and the likeable grey makes plenty of allure that is each-way, with some firms offering ample four place terms.
The amount of prize money on the table compared to last year means only getting a run from the Ebor has been a feat in itself, and that’s proven with a 105-rated bottom weight. Due to the compact nature of the weights, it appears a moot exercise mulling within the lbs and ounces and it’s better to just stick to the tried and trusted formula of going with something using demonstrated course form — which applies to most races in York. With that in mind, one of the major trials for the #1 million-pound event comes courtesy of the Group 3 contest run across the C&D on John Smith’s Cup day a month ago, with a number of the main players who day place to do battle again. Won by Red Galileo, Ed Dunlop’s gelding fended off the likes of Raheen House, Weekender along with Kelly’s Dino (won because ) in a crazy finish and with the time figure going towards the shape of the race being particularly trustworthy, it wouldn’t come as too much of a surprise when one of the quartet were to triumph back to the spectacle of the epic experience.
Of those, the safest option, possibly, would be RAHEEN HOUSE (best cost 7-1) because his figures not simply stack up well from this competition, but also out of his prior performance over the exact same C&D a month earlier. Though no game for Gold Mount that afternoon, it wasn’t a poor effort off the back of a 231-day break and in locating the essential improvement the next day, the son of Sea Even the Stars managed to conduct to a much higher level in what turned out to be an extremely strongly-run event. Held off far off the speed, he stayed to go down narrowly in a driving finish and that functionality only further added to the concept that he simply adores the galloping character of the trail. Having changed from Brian Meehan into William Haggas’ strong lawn, it seems connections have been dead-set on landing this huge prize for quite some time and making sure no stone is left unturned in the accumulation to the occasion, he should arrive about the Knavesmire at fever-pitch. Only from this money twice in a 17-race career, the five-year-old also offers useful course stats which read 123 and with form on a variety of conditions and endurance and course in equal measures, it is hard to see him not having any sort of say in the last outcome.
Pretty Pollyanna brings genuine Group 1 type to the table and she’s likely to be a hot order beneath the allowances, but at exactly the identical time, she is fairly got out of the habit of winning and at her skimpy morning cost, she has handed over in favour of very good EFFORT (best price 22-1) at much more attractive odds. Campaigned over 7f/1m, the gelding of Ismail Mohamed had lost his way until a surprising change of heart led to one of his best career performances over today ‘s C&D last time out. Always travelling readily off the back of strong fractions, the son of Shamardal found clever turn of foot to easily brush aside a helpful field and although today’s competition is a far cry from the shallower waters he encountered that day, he is only the type who might excel in a larger and better surroundings.
Considering DANGEROUS ENDS’s (best cost 10-1) run-style, he was always unlikely to be suited by the sharp mile in Lingfield last time outside, but now back above a C&D that’s served him well before, Brett Johnson’s inmate speeds a viable proposition.
Well behind halfway at the Surrey venue, the five-year-old had very little chance but at least he made a fist of the situation to operate to finish a never-nearer third and now also that at least signals he remains in shape. A success followed by a spot beneath a penalty were his two offerings when racing over today’s C&D and with all the useful William carver in the plate to facilitate the pain of top pounds, the Monsieur Bond gelding should easily outrun.
RISE HALL (best price 8-1) has not got too many miles around the clock and using a chance he still might be improving, Martyn Meade’s gelding could go close to supplying his eponymous handler his second winner of this assembly. Third in a handicap over the C&D of today when lurks in excursion for the first time last year, the four-year-old has not done much wrong because and his success in Newmarket last time out capped off a run attempts that were solid in decent handicaps. Despite racing using the choke out through the early part of the contest a month before, the son of Frankel nevertheless had enough in reserve to watch off a small, but select field, and having thrived over the two times he’s encountered a large area and a strong rate, Rise Hall must prove to be in his part under ideal conditions.
Whatever happens today, Richard Hannon has enjoyed a great week, but there is a better than outside opportunity that WEDDING DATE (best cost 16-1) can offer exactly the East Everleigh maestro with the perfect conclusion to this meeting.
Therefore it best to concentrate on the positives, at her finest when asked to finish strongly over five-furlongs, it is no surprise that her two worst performances lately have come within an excess furlong. Seen to great effect when the pace dropped over today’s C&D back in May, the daughter of Dandy Man once again did some really great late work on her latest trip at Ascot, coming from virtually last to sneak against some classy and well-established older sprint handicappers. Back among her age class this afternoon, expect her to become clubbed prior to coming together with her standard late rattle in running to pull off such an effort, and although she will need a chance her morning price suggest she worth the danger.
Small Nugget sets the normal courtesy of her handsome effort in an adequate novice contest at the Galway Festival, but she might have much more on her plate in relation to the market signals upward against the improving CAER (NAP) (greatest price 5-2).
A winner of a bumper at Roscommon back in July was in the process of running a race that is large when capsizing four out of home, however she didn’t have to wait too long for reparation. By bolting up at Sligo last time out and the fact that she made the Bronagh’s Belle look pedestrian it testimony dusting herself down, she clearly suffered no ill consequences from that fall. Probably to be ridden handily — that is not a terrible tactic about that monitor — Noel Meade’s bill can provide the favourite.
The trick to the outcome of this race might lie within the similar heat run at Doncaster last week and of those who were included in that contest on Town Moor, VERDIGRIS (best cost 20-1) creates the maximum appeal at the dawn chances. Held up towards the back in the first stages, Ruth Carr’s filly was just beginning to creep nicely into the competition when she fulfilled all sorts of trouble in conducting and although it’s always difficult to develop a precise conclusion where she might have completed, there is every opportunity she would have left the framework at the very least given how she had been going at the moment. Ahead of this unfortunate effort, the girl of Intense Focus had run from that backed up preceding strong performances including a victory back in May and the Warning Fire over the course of today. Flexible regards back and trip to a face has much more in her favour than her early estimates imply.
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